GitHub Prediction Markets • Live Trading

BlockSmiths Arena

Trade GitHub pull requests with bonding curve economics. Back promising PRs early and earn rewards when they merge.

Total Volume
$2.4M

+20.1% this week

Active Markets
1,284

Live PR predictions

Active Traders
8,429

Active this month

Success Rate
78.3%

Avg. prediction accuracy

Top Performing Markets

Discover the most active prediction markets with high confidence scores

React
+47%
facebook/react #28,453
feat: Add concurrent rendering optimizations for improved performance
Merge Probability92%
Current Price
0.045 ETH
Vite
+32%
vitejs/vite #15,892
fix: Resolve HMR issues with dynamic imports for better developer experience
Merge Probability87%
Current Price
0.032 ETH
TypeScript
+28%
microsoft/TypeScript #56,234
feat: Improve type inference for mapped types and conditional types
Merge Probability94%
Current Price
0.058 ETH

How It Works

Revolutionary prediction markets powered by bonding curve economics. Early participants get better prices as demand increases.

Discover Markets
Browse live GitHub PRs across popular repositories. Each PR gets its own prediction market with dynamic pricing.
Buy PR Tokens
Purchase tokens using our bonding curve model. Early buyers benefit from lower prices that increase with demand.
Earn Rewards
When PRs merge successfully, redeem your tokens for rewards plus trading fees. Or sell early if prices surge.

Ready to Trade?

Join the future of developer prediction markets. Start trading GitHub PRs with confidence and transparency.